Hofstra
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 84.5600Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 6-10 211 H Manhattan Metro Atlan ( 3-14, 72.0) 19- 5 214 A Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 12- 7 221 H Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 8- 9 226 A Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 14- 8 228 A Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 7-17 304 H Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 9-16 307 H Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 18- 1 314 H Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 7- 6 318 H Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 9-20 322 A Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 13-11 328 A Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 13-10 404 H Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 14-13 411 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 22-11 417 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 4-15 425 H William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 15- 2 430 N Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 11-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Siena 6-10 -4 1 -- -5.30
211 H Manhattan 19- 5 14 14 0.06
214 A Quinnipiac 12- 7 5 3 + 2.37
221 H Fairfield 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.24
226 A Marist 14- 8 6 6 0.30
228 A Rutgers 7-17 -10 -8 - -2.31
304 H Maryland 9-16 -7 -8 0.73
307 H Wagner 18- 1 17 12 + 2.02
314 H Elon 7- 6 1 3 -1.98
318 H Princeton 9-20 -11 -7 -- -4.29
322 A Campbell 13-11 2 1 0.54
328 A Towson 13-10 3 -1 + 3.91
404 H Drexel 14-13 1 3 -1.68
411 H Monmouth (NJ) 22-11 11 6 ++ 4.87
417 A Stony Brook 4-15 -11 -11 -0.48
425 H William & Mary 15- 2 13 6 +++ 6.96
430 N Towson 11-14 -3 0 - -3.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Siena 6-10 -4 1 -- -5.30 318 H Princeton 9-20 -11 -7 -- -4.29 221 H Fairfield 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.24 228 A Rutgers 7-17 -10 -8 - -2.31 430 N Towson 11-14 -3 0 - -3.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H William & Mary 15- 2 13 6 +++ 6.96 411 H Monmouth (NJ) 22-11 11 6 ++ 4.87 214 A Quinnipiac 12- 7 5 3 + 2.37 307 H Wagner 18- 1 17 12 + 2.02 328 A Towson 13-10 3 -1 + 3.91 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 6-10 -18.01 22.16 1.37 1.02 -8.48
3 H Manhattan ( 3-14, 72.0) 19- 5 -27.91 12.26 -1.37 1.02 22.19
3 A Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 12- 7 -19.34 20.83 1.37 1.02 45.23
3 H Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 8- 9 -15.21 24.95 -1.37 1.02 -8.45
3 A Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 14- 8 -22.41 17.76 1.37 1.02 38.97
3 A Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 7-17 -9.02 31.15 1.37 1.02 -3.90
3 H Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 9-16 -6.24 33.92 -1.37 1.02 -3.88
3 H Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 18- 1 -25.95 14.22 -1.37 1.02 26.19
3 H Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 7- 6 -16.96 23.21 -1.37 1.02 44.52
3 H Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 9-20 -7.27 32.90 -1.37 1.02 -4.40
3 A Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 13-11 -18.17 22.00 1.37 1.02 47.63
3 A Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 13-10 -15.80 24.37 1.37 1.02 52.45
3 H Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 14-13 -16.65 23.52 -1.37 1.02 45.14
3 H Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 22-11 -20.10 20.06 -1.37 1.02 38.10
3 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 4-15 -6.19 33.98 1.37 1.02 -2.46
3 H William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 15- 2 -20.02 20.15 -1.37 1.02 38.28
3 N Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 11-14 -15.80 24.37 -0.00 1.02 -8.05
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359.11
|
winning pts = 398.7204 losing points = -39.6109
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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